46. US Open win-loss records

The final grand slam of the year, the US Open, starts in the New York borough of Queens on Monday. As ever, a good time to know in advance who plays well here and who struggles; as well as who might make a name for themselves. Congratulations to Andrey Rublev (17 years old) Tommy Paul…

45. The concealed effects of ageing: part 3

So as you have read in the previous 2 parts, a drive towards fitness, a key seeding change and a distribution of prize money that more acutely favours the top 32 appear to have contributed to the fundamental alteration of the trajectory of tennis players’ careers. These factors reinforce each other. What does it all…

44. The concealed effects of ageing: part 2

The ATP top 100 is getting older; but it is unlikely that this has anything to do with the older players among them being intrinsically better than the younger generation. The data strongly suggests that among the possible reasons for the increased longevity are 3 “structural” reasons, namely: The trend towards expensive full-time and increasingly…

43. The concealed effects of ageing: part 1

30 over 30 You will not have missed the trend. Choose your example from the last 12 months: Federer in the Wimbledon final aged 33; Wawrinka winning the French Open aged 30; Feliciano Lopez achieving his career-high ranking of 12 aged 33; Estrella Burgos breaking into the top 100 for the first time aged 34;…

42. The concealed effects of ageing: introduction

The age profile of players on the ATP tour is undergoing a significant structural shift. It’s not yet clear how far we are through the shift but the data is clear: the men’s top 100 is older than ever before. It would be wrong to think that this is because the younger generation is simply…